Section/Methodology
How estimates are
produced.
The figures published on this site are statistical estimates derived from observed wait reports and historical patterns at each field office. The methodology below describes how each estimate is collected, aggregated, projected, and published.
Sources
Reader · Historical · Posted
Aggregation
Recency-weighted median
Cadence
Continuous
Cost to Reader
Free
Procedure
From report to record.
Step
01
Observation
Wait times are collected from on-site reports submitted by readers visiting a field office, and from previously observed wait patterns at the same office, day-of-week, and hour. Submissions are anonymous; no contact information is required.
- Reader-submitted on-site reports
- Historical observations at the same office, day, and hour
- Published operating hours and posted closures
Step
02
Aggregation
Reports are weighted by recency and aggregated by office. A single late report is not allowed to drive an estimate alone; the figure tracks the recent median, with outliers down-weighted.
- Recency-weighted median across recent reports
- Outlier suppression to limit single-source skew
- Per-office aggregation, not regional smoothing
Step
03
Estimation
An hourly estimate is derived for each office from its observation history. The figure published as the next-hour estimate is a statistical projection; it is not a guarantee of conditions on the ground.
- Hourly statistical estimates per office
- Confidence figures derived from sample density
- Estimates revised continuously as new reports arrive
Step
04
Publication
The index is published on a single open page. Readers can sort, filter to nearby offices via geolocation, set local alerts, and submit their own wait observations to extend the record.
- Open public table; no registration required
- Optional geolocation for nearest-office filtering
- Reader contributions accepted at any office
Caveats
What the figures are not.
The published estimate at a field office is not a guarantee of conditions on the ground. Service waits change minute to minute; an estimate is only as recent as its most recent report.
The figures are not produced by, supplied to, or coordinated with any state Department of Motor Vehicles. Use of the index does not imply endorsement by any government agency.